Thank you Phil 😉
https://uscommodityprice.com/difference-between-spot-price-futures-price/
Read the entire article but pay attention to the paragraph on 'Convergence at Expiration" and how the futures telegraphs the spot price. At delivery they are the same. Pump price responds directionally to the futures price. No they are not the same but at delivery they are indistinguishable. Good thing to or you'd be paying a thousand dollars a gallon for the stuff.
There is an definitive answer with an absolute and assured result. However that answer cannot be discussed on this site.
But I can say this. It is beyond the ability of any human or any group of humans no matter how well meaning. We have had thousands of years to prove we could and the results are dismal. Until then we have this:
And there it is.
I had a strange problem with my Avalanche. Yearly once the temperature started getting hot. It would freeze me out going to my walking trail about 8 miles. Nothing but hot air going home. My machanic would put the Freon in the machine vacuum the system. No leaks put the Freon back, good for the year. My brothers truck wouldn’t work at all until he did the same procedure. I believe he finally changed the expansion valve to solve his problem.
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